This in isolation doesn’t seem like evidence about returns in the sense of what intelligence lets you accomplish that’s of strategic importance. It is evidence that humans vary a lot in cognitive ability as can be pretty directly measured by a simple puzzle, but not about the mapping of cognitive ability → strategic outcomes. You’d need to incorporate other bits of evidence for that.
Yeah, I agree; I wanted a clear intuition pump for at least the first step and it seems pretty hard to demonstrate both at once in a way that people will find convincing.
This in isolation doesn’t seem like evidence about returns in the sense of what intelligence lets you accomplish that’s of strategic importance. It is evidence that humans vary a lot in cognitive ability as can be pretty directly measured by a simple puzzle, but not about the mapping of cognitive ability → strategic outcomes. You’d need to incorporate other bits of evidence for that.
Yeah, I agree; I wanted a clear intuition pump for at least the first step and it seems pretty hard to demonstrate both at once in a way that people will find convincing.