I’ll second the suggestion of introducing people to overconfidence early on, because (hopefully) it leads to a more questioning mindset.
I would note that the otherwise-awesome Adventures in Cognitive Biases’ calibration is heavily geared towards a particular geographic demographic, and that several of my peers that I’ve introduced this to were a little off-put by it, so consider encouraging them to stick through the calibration into the more meaty subject matter of the Adventure itself.
One idea is to try to teach your audience about overconfidence first, e.g. the way this game does with the calibration questions up front. See also.
Nice idea! Thanks for the suggestion. Maybe also a Caplan Test.
I’ll second the suggestion of introducing people to overconfidence early on, because (hopefully) it leads to a more questioning mindset.
I would note that the otherwise-awesome Adventures in Cognitive Biases’ calibration is heavily geared towards a particular geographic demographic, and that several of my peers that I’ve introduced this to were a little off-put by it, so consider encouraging them to stick through the calibration into the more meaty subject matter of the Adventure itself.
Thanks!