This is not at all obvious to me. If someone tries something, and botches it, then when someone else goes to try that thing they may hear “wait, didn’t that fail the last time around?”
This seems like a full general counterargument against trying uncertain things...
Agreed that it’s a fully general counterargument. I endorse the underlying point, though, of “evaluate second order effects of success and failure as well as first order effects,” and whether or not that point carries the day will depend on the numbers involved.
This seems like a full general counterargument against trying uncertain things...
Agreed that it’s a fully general counterargument. I endorse the underlying point, though, of “evaluate second order effects of success and failure as well as first order effects,” and whether or not that point carries the day will depend on the numbers involved.