I don’t know enough about the subject matter to grill you in detail, but I’d certainly love to see a post about this. (Or even a long comment.) The obvious big questions are “why do you believe that” but also “how can you possibly know that”—after all, who knows what AI-related techniques and technologies remain undiscovered? Surely you can’t know whether some of them make it easier to produce aligned AIs than deep learning…?
I don’t know enough about the subject matter to grill you in detail, but I’d certainly love to see a post about this. (Or even a long comment.) The obvious big questions are “why do you believe that” but also “how can you possibly know that”—after all, who knows what AI-related techniques and technologies remain undiscovered? Surely you can’t know whether some of them make it easier to produce aligned AIs than deep learning…?