There may be a significant probability apart from the fact that a perfect predictor predicted it. You might as well say that either you will go or you will not, so the probability is either 100% or 0%.
“There may be a significant probability apart from the fact that a perfect predictor predicted it. ”
I do not understand your sentence.
“You might as well say that either you will go or you will not, so the probability is either 100% or 0%.”
Exactly. Given omniscience about event X, the probability of event X is always either 100% or 0%. If we got a perfect psychic to predict whether I would win the lottery tomorrow, the probability of me winning the lottery would be either 100% or 0% after the psychic made his prediction.
I was saying that taking into account everything you know except for the fact that a perfect predictor predicted something, there could be a significant probability.
There may be a significant probability apart from the fact that a perfect predictor predicted it. You might as well say that either you will go or you will not, so the probability is either 100% or 0%.
“There may be a significant probability apart from the fact that a perfect predictor predicted it. ”
I do not understand your sentence.
“You might as well say that either you will go or you will not, so the probability is either 100% or 0%.”
Exactly. Given omniscience about event X, the probability of event X is always either 100% or 0%. If we got a perfect psychic to predict whether I would win the lottery tomorrow, the probability of me winning the lottery would be either 100% or 0% after the psychic made his prediction.
I was saying that taking into account everything you know except for the fact that a perfect predictor predicted something, there could be a significant probability.