I get stuck in analysis paralysis a lot. When you’re used to clean logical models, the messy, irrational friction of the real world is just exhausting. I usually end up freezing and doing nothing.
We’re stuck in a classic multi-polar trap — a Moloch dynamic. People who actually care about ethics are backing out, while the big labs slash safety budgets to push capabilities. In a system with no coordination, walking away doesn’t fix the trajectory. It just hands the steering wheel to the actors willing to take the biggest risks.
I sometimes wonder if a real pause could have worked back before Eliezer and Nick put AGI on the map. But with so much money locked in and the path already set, a full retreat just isn’t going to happen now.
I get stuck in analysis paralysis a lot. When you’re used to clean logical models, the messy, irrational friction of the real world is just exhausting. I usually end up freezing and doing nothing.
We’re stuck in a classic multi-polar trap — a Moloch dynamic. People who actually care about ethics are backing out, while the big labs slash safety budgets to push capabilities. In a system with no coordination, walking away doesn’t fix the trajectory. It just hands the steering wheel to the actors willing to take the biggest risks.
I sometimes wonder if a real pause could have worked back before Eliezer and Nick put AGI on the map. But with so much money locked in and the path already set, a full retreat just isn’t going to happen now.