Is the ′ probable, mid-century’ part what you are dismissing as Kurzweilian faith? If so, I’m in agreement. (Along much the same lines as we discussed with respect to HP:MoR.)
Umm I actually I didn’t use the word ‘probable’ - I said “reasonable bet”. Do you think this justifies the term “Kurzweilian faith and weasely wording”?
In terms of expected benefits, even with low odds the Singularity can be a good bet that one should take into consideration in any future projections. I think it is irrational not to consider it.
Belief that a Singularity is extremely unlikely this century is just another belief in a set of future scenarios that one could assign the adjective ‘faith’ to.
Is the ′ probable, mid-century’ part what you are dismissing as Kurzweilian faith? If so, I’m in agreement. (Along much the same lines as we discussed with respect to HP:MoR.)
Umm I actually I didn’t use the word ‘probable’ - I said “reasonable bet”. Do you think this justifies the term “Kurzweilian faith and weasely wording”?
In terms of expected benefits, even with low odds the Singularity can be a good bet that one should take into consideration in any future projections. I think it is irrational not to consider it.
Belief that a Singularity is extremely unlikely this century is just another belief in a set of future scenarios that one could assign the adjective ‘faith’ to.
Full agreement and retraction!