I suppose you are right. Fiction rarely labels whether a given AI system is meant to be general or not.
There’s definitely AI stronger then LLMs in fiction and AI weaker than LLMs in fiction and I cannot show that when people think of AGI they think of the examples stronger than LLMs.
So let me make another argument:
Even careful and thoughtful people are generally bad at predicting what other people believe outside of trivial examples. See for example thoughtful Democrats being often unable to articulate accurately what thoughtful Republicans believe and vice versa.
Whether or not other people believe LLMs are AGI is not a trivial example
We’re generally worse at predicting what people 20 years in the past have thought about some issue unless we have specific evidence (e.g. a written record) than we are at predicting what our contemporaries believe
We have no specific evidence (e.g. a written record) about what people in 2006 thought AGI would look like exactly and if it matches LLMs
So we cannot accurately predict whether or not people in 2006 would’ve generally considered LLMs to be AGI
And it’s especially not “clearly” or “obivously” the case they would’ve seen 2026 LLMs as AGI
I suppose you are right. Fiction rarely labels whether a given AI system is meant to be general or not.
There’s definitely AI stronger then LLMs in fiction and AI weaker than LLMs in fiction and I cannot show that when people think of AGI they think of the examples stronger than LLMs.
So let me make another argument:
Even careful and thoughtful people are generally bad at predicting what other people believe outside of trivial examples. See for example thoughtful Democrats being often unable to articulate accurately what thoughtful Republicans believe and vice versa.
Whether or not other people believe LLMs are AGI is not a trivial example
We’re generally worse at predicting what people 20 years in the past have thought about some issue unless we have specific evidence (e.g. a written record) than we are at predicting what our contemporaries believe
We have no specific evidence (e.g. a written record) about what people in 2006 thought AGI would look like exactly and if it matches LLMs
So we cannot accurately predict whether or not people in 2006 would’ve generally considered LLMs to be AGI
And it’s especially not “clearly” or “obivously” the case they would’ve seen 2026 LLMs as AGI