You seem to highlight that agent will prefer Y when it is able to. Maybe. My main point is not to argue which will prevail (X or Y) but to highlight the conflict. To my knowledge this conflict (present vs future optimization) is not well addressed in AI alignment research.
And you seem to say that it is not clear how to optimize for future. Black swan theory talks about that and it recommends—build robustness. I agree it is not clear which is better—more paperclips or less paperclips, but it is clear that more robustness is always better.
Thanks — you captured my idea quite well.
You seem to highlight that agent will prefer Y when it is able to. Maybe. My main point is not to argue which will prevail (X or Y) but to highlight the conflict. To my knowledge this conflict (present vs future optimization) is not well addressed in AI alignment research.
And you seem to say that it is not clear how to optimize for future. Black swan theory talks about that and it recommends—build robustness. I agree it is not clear which is better—more paperclips or less paperclips, but it is clear that more robustness is always better.