I downvoted for the clickbait title, for making obviously wrong inferences from quoted material, and also for being about some fiction instead of anything relevant to the real world. In these quotes Eliezer is not claiming that his fictional dath ilan has a 97% chance of solving alignment, and even if he were, so what?
Eliezer certainly didn’t say that in anything quoted in the original post, and what he did write in that glowfic does not imply it. He may hold that dath ilan has a 97% chance to solve alignment, but that’s an additional claim about his fictional universe that does not follow from what his character Keltham said.
The combination of both statements also strains my suspension of disbelief in his setting even further than it already is. Either one alone is bad enough, but together they imply a great deal more than I think Eliezer intended.
I downvoted for the clickbait title, for making obviously wrong inferences from quoted material, and also for being about some fiction instead of anything relevant to the real world. In these quotes Eliezer is not claiming that his fictional dath ilan has a 97% chance of solving alignment, and even if he were, so what?
Some of those are valid reasons to downvote, but
Eliezer certainly didn’t say that in anything quoted in the original post, and what he did write in that glowfic does not imply it. He may hold that dath ilan has a 97% chance to solve alignment, but that’s an additional claim about his fictional universe that does not follow from what his character Keltham said.
The combination of both statements also strains my suspension of disbelief in his setting even further than it already is. Either one alone is bad enough, but together they imply a great deal more than I think Eliezer intended.