(Status: just occurred to me. I’m not sure how seriously to take it.)
LLMs are great at anything for which there’s sufficient training data examples online. Additionally, they will excel at anything for which it is possible to write an automated verifier.
Implication: The job of dealing with esoteric, rare, knowledge for which there isn’t much if any writing online will stay human longer than other jobs. This comes from a human’s great sample efficiency compared with AI.
Implications:
In university, the best classes are either foundational or on your professors’ pet theories. Hard classes with good documentation (e.g. organic chemistry, operating systems) are best skipped.
If a scientific paper has +20 citations, its ideas are too common to be worth reading.
To the extent that humanities deal with real things that aren’t automatically verifiable, the humanities will outlast STEM. But the more heavily an author has been analyzed (e.g. Shakespeare, Kant, Freud) the less they matter to your career.
The art of competing with LLMs is still being discovered. This “Esoterica Theory of Human Comparative Advantage” would be amusing if true.
(Status: just occurred to me. I’m not sure how seriously to take it.)
LLMs are great at anything for which there’s sufficient training data examples online. Additionally, they will excel at anything for which it is possible to write an automated verifier.
Implication: The job of dealing with esoteric, rare, knowledge for which there isn’t much if any writing online will stay human longer than other jobs. This comes from a human’s great sample efficiency compared with AI.
Implications:
In university, the best classes are either foundational or on your professors’ pet theories. Hard classes with good documentation (e.g. organic chemistry, operating systems) are best skipped.
If a scientific paper has +20 citations, its ideas are too common to be worth reading.
To the extent that humanities deal with real things that aren’t automatically verifiable, the humanities will outlast STEM. But the more heavily an author has been analyzed (e.g. Shakespeare, Kant, Freud) the less they matter to your career.
The art of competing with LLMs is still being discovered. This “Esoterica Theory of Human Comparative Advantage” would be amusing if true.