But longer timelines mean that authoritarian countries are likely to control more of the future
Wait what? It is not clear to me why we would expect the US to lose its AI lead in longer timelines. Is this reversion to the mean, are you assuming the US has somehow gotten lucky in a way that won’t last? This seems like a major premise that goes almost completely unexplained.
Wait what? It is not clear to me why we would expect the US to lose its AI lead in longer timelines. Is this reversion to the mean, are you assuming the US has somehow gotten lucky in a way that won’t last? This seems like a major premise that goes almost completely unexplained.