This post lead me to visualise the leadup to AGI more clearly, and changed how I talk about it in conversations. I think that while Paul’s arguments were key, Ray’s graph in the comments is the best summary of my main update. Also I think that the brief comments from Eliezer and Nate would be helpful if included.
This post lead me to visualise the leadup to AGI more clearly, and changed how I talk about it in conversations. I think that while Paul’s arguments were key, Ray’s graph in the comments is the best summary of my main update. Also I think that the brief comments from Eliezer and Nate would be helpful if included.