By the way, how would your application of CDP/SIA to the Absent-minded Driver problem take into account additional evidence fed to you about what intersection you’re at? (Say, someone shows you something that amplifies the odds of being at X by a factor of [aka has a Bayes factor/likelihood ratio of] L.)
I think my extended set-up can deal with that, too—I’ll write it up in a subsequent post.
Okay. Just so you know, I attacked that problem, though not with your method, and presented the solution here. You will probably need to read this to understand the variables.
I think my extended set-up can deal with that, too—I’ll write it up in a subsequent post.
Okay. Just so you know, I attacked that problem, though not with your method, and presented the solution here. You will probably need to read this to understand the variables.