I still one-box. If Omega believes I will one-box, then I get a million dollars. I want Omega to think I will one-box, because that gives me the maximum payoff. Therefore, I one-box.
But you can get 2 million from the lottery, by choosing to two-box, for a net gain of 1 million.
I think. It certainly seems like you can change your epistemic probability of “1033 is prime” by changing how you decide in this scenario.
In the non-Interrupted scenario, this just means that you’re in a very rare universe and you’ve generally given up between 1 million and zero dollars, but I don’t quite see how this applies to a truly one-off case.
I still one-box. If Omega believes I will one-box, then I get a million dollars. I want Omega to think I will one-box, because that gives me the maximum payoff. Therefore, I one-box.
But you can get 2 million from the lottery, by choosing to two-box, for a net gain of 1 million.
I think. It certainly seems like you can change your epistemic probability of “1033 is prime” by changing how you decide in this scenario.
In the non-Interrupted scenario, this just means that you’re in a very rare universe and you’ve generally given up between 1 million and zero dollars, but I don’t quite see how this applies to a truly one-off case.