How many linear or logarithmic trends can be forecast out as far as the year 2050? I once found some graphs of CPU speed and storage per dollar per year, but seem to have lost them; and now I’m curious what other trend-lines might be worth thinking about.
(I’ve been writing a story, and would be happy to make whatever such details I include as plausible as possible, while also acknowledging that relying on such trends is a mug’s game.)
I’m not sure if it’ll keep going, but the Flynn effect(rising IQ over time) is mysterious enough that continuation is possible, and might be interesting.
Trends at 2050?
How many linear or logarithmic trends can be forecast out as far as the year 2050? I once found some graphs of CPU speed and storage per dollar per year, but seem to have lost them; and now I’m curious what other trend-lines might be worth thinking about.
(I’ve been writing a story, and would be happy to make whatever such details I include as plausible as possible, while also acknowledging that relying on such trends is a mug’s game.)
https://intelligence.org/2014/05/12/exponential-and-non-exponential/ ?
Those sorts of graphs, yes; except I saw ones extending the trend lines out to 2050.
I’m not sure if it’ll keep going, but the Flynn effect(rising IQ over time) is mysterious enough that continuation is possible, and might be interesting.