A point that we cannot predict past (classically the singularity), does not mean that we can never predict past it. Just that we can’t predict past at this point. It is not a sensical thing to predict the direction of your predictions at a future point in time (or it is, but will not get you anywhere). But we can predict that our predictions of an event likely improve as we near it.
Therefore, arguments that because we have a prediction horizon, we cannot predict past a certain point will always appear defeated by the fact that now that we have neared it, we can now predict past it are unconvincing, since we now have more information.
However, arguments that we will never predict past a certain point need to justify why our prediction ability will in fact get worse over time.
Note to self
A point that we cannot predict past (classically the singularity), does not mean that we can never predict past it. Just that we can’t predict past at this point. It is not a sensical thing to predict the direction of your predictions at a future point in time (or it is, but will not get you anywhere). But we can predict that our predictions of an event likely improve as we near it.
Therefore, arguments that because we have a prediction horizon, we cannot predict past a certain point will always appear defeated by the fact that now that we have neared it, we can now predict past it are unconvincing, since we now have more information.
However, arguments that we will never predict past a certain point need to justify why our prediction ability will in fact get worse over time.