Chewing it over more, I think you may have neglected to consider Newcomblike self-deception as a possible factor in Sinclair’s razor. It’s not necessary for the person to be lying about what they believe, or for them to have consciously convinced themselves of that lie. They can just have a big convenient cognitive blind spot.
Well, I meant that to be included under “has really convinced themselves”, where you’re proposing that they could have convinced themselves unconsciously. (Which I agree happens, via a bunch of little ugh fields and piecemeal distorted-world construction.)
Feel free to make an edit to clarify though, it’s a wiki!
Chewing it over more, I think you may have neglected to consider Newcomblike self-deception as a possible factor in Sinclair’s razor. It’s not necessary for the person to be lying about what they believe, or for them to have consciously convinced themselves of that lie. They can just have a big convenient cognitive blind spot.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ht4JZtxngKwuQ7cDC/tsvibt-s-shortform?commentId=WsrmFhuysbmJ3xiPm
Well, I meant that to be included under “has really convinced themselves”, where you’re proposing that they could have convinced themselves unconsciously. (Which I agree happens, via a bunch of little ugh fields and piecemeal distorted-world construction.)
Feel free to make an edit to clarify though, it’s a wiki!