I also see multiple technological pathways that would get us to longevity escape velocity that seem plausible without AGI in that timeframe.
If nothing else, with advances in tissue engineering I expect we will be able to regrow and replace every organ in the body except the brain by mid-century.
But I also think a lot of what’s needed is culturally/politically/legally fraught in various ways. I think if we don’t get life-extending tech, it will be because we made rules inadvertently preventing it or pretending it’s better not to have it.
I also see multiple technological pathways that would get us to longevity escape velocity that seem plausible without AGI in that timeframe.
If nothing else, with advances in tissue engineering I expect we will be able to regrow and replace every organ in the body except the brain by mid-century.
But I also think a lot of what’s needed is culturally/politically/legally fraught in various ways. I think if we don’t get life-extending tech, it will be because we made rules inadvertently preventing it or pretending it’s better not to have it.