I’d be curious to hear more about what made you perceive our scenario as confident. We included caveats signaling uncertainty in a bunch of places, for example in “Why is it valuable?” and several expendables and footnotes. Interestingly, this popular YouTuber made a quip that it seemed like we were adding tons of caveats everywhere,
I was imprecise (ha ha) with my terminology here- I should have only talked about a precise forecast rather than a confident one, I meant solely the attempt to highlight a single story about a single year. My bad. Edited the post.
I was imprecise (ha ha) with my terminology here- I should have only talked about a precise forecast rather than a confident one, I meant solely the attempt to highlight a single story about a single year. My bad. Edited the post.