I think a central consideration should be what can actually be enforced, i.e., if it were true that ASI can be built with 1e20 FLOPs / 27-H100-hours (which I think is possible); this would be very impractical to enforce, and so we should build our plan around not having to enforce that.
I think a central consideration should be what can actually be enforced, i.e., if it were true that ASI can be built with 1e20 FLOPs / 27-H100-hours (which I think is possible); this would be very impractical to enforce, and so we should build our plan around not having to enforce that.