it’s interesting as the least easy to falsify, arguably unfalsifiable core of motivated, unjustified belief. It’s not interesting as something at all likely to be true.
I disagree; certain ideas that theism originated are as likely to be true as certain ideas about decision theory are likely to be true, because they’re isomorphic.
You are reasoning from cached priors without bothering to recompute likelihood ratios (not like you’re actually looking at evidence at all; did you read the article on divine simplicity? Do you have a knockdown reason that I should ignore that debate other than “stupid people believe in God, therefore belief in God is stupid”?). You are ignoring evidence. “Ignore”: ignorance. You are ignorant about theism. That’s cool; you don’t have all the time in the world. But don’t confidently assert that something is not likely to be true when you clearly know very little about it. This is an important part of rationality.
Edit: In other words, you do not have magical inductive biases and you have seen significantly less evidence than I have. This should be more than enough to cause you to be hesitant.
You are ignorant about theism. That’s cool; you don’t have all the time in the world. But don’t confidently assert that something is not likely to be true when you clearly know very little about it. This is an important part of rationality.
You confidently assert my ignorance. That assertion is notable.
you have seen significantly less evidence than I have.
You’re much more confident of this than I am. You should be more hesitant.
Duly noted. Can we share a few representative reasons? What do you think I don’t already think you know about why “theism” (a word that may soon need to be tabooed) isn’t worth looking into?
I disagree; certain ideas that theism originated are as likely to be true as certain ideas about decision theory are likely to be true, because they’re isomorphic.
You are reasoning from cached priors without bothering to recompute likelihood ratios (not like you’re actually looking at evidence at all; did you read the article on divine simplicity? Do you have a knockdown reason that I should ignore that debate other than “stupid people believe in God, therefore belief in God is stupid”?). You are ignoring evidence. “Ignore”: ignorance. You are ignorant about theism. That’s cool; you don’t have all the time in the world. But don’t confidently assert that something is not likely to be true when you clearly know very little about it. This is an important part of rationality.
Edit: In other words, you do not have magical inductive biases and you have seen significantly less evidence than I have. This should be more than enough to cause you to be hesitant.
You confidently assert my ignorance. That assertion is notable.
You’re much more confident of this than I am. You should be more hesitant.
Duly noted. Can we share a few representative reasons? What do you think I don’t already think you know about why “theism” (a word that may soon need to be tabooed) isn’t worth looking into?