For historical reasons, Less Wrong tended to attract people accustomed to ORSA thinking — which is common in e.g. mathematics and philosophy. Hence, LWers tend to make “too much reliance on ORSA”-type mistakes more often than they make the “too much reliance on MWA”-type mistakes.
Could you (or someone else) possibly give some examples of this? This seems like it’s probably true but I’m having trouble thinking of concrete examples. I want to know the nature of the bias I should be compensating for.
Could you (or someone else) possibly give some examples of this? This seems like it’s probably true but I’m having trouble thinking of concrete examples. I want to know the nature of the bias I should be compensating for.