I have had this problem a lot with consulting clients. I’ll start a project and be 90% sure within an hour or two of what the shape of the overall result will be, but it takes hundreds of hours of work to collect and present the information in a way that will (or should be) convincing to a third party. Partly it’s a matter of needing to articulate the source of intuitions. Partly it’s a matter of needing a few high-quality pieces of clear, unambiguous data, whereas the intuition is built on many individually ambiguous pieces of data.
I have had this problem a lot with consulting clients. I’ll start a project and be 90% sure within an hour or two of what the shape of the overall result will be, but it takes hundreds of hours of work to collect and present the information in a way that will (or should be) convincing to a third party. Partly it’s a matter of needing to articulate the source of intuitions. Partly it’s a matter of needing a few high-quality pieces of clear, unambiguous data, whereas the intuition is built on many individually ambiguous pieces of data.