I could choose the arbitrary cut-off like 75%, which still buys me 10^^645385211 years of life (in practice, I would be more likely to go with 60%, but that’s really a personal preference). Of course, I lose out on the tetration and faster-growth options from refusing that deal, but Omega never mentioned those and I have no particular reason to expect them.
Of course, this starts to get into Pascal’s mugging territory, because it really comes down to how much you trust Omega, or the person representing Omega. I can’t think of any real-life observations I could make that would convince me that someone speaks for Omega and can offer such a deal, though I’m sure there are some things that would cause me to conclude that. Nevertheless, I’m not really capable of thinking with the amount of certainty I would need to risk even a 50% chance of death for a promise of an existence long enough for a brain the size of the observable universe to cycle through all of its possible states.
So yeah, this looks like standard Pascal’s mugging.
I could choose the arbitrary cut-off like 75%, which still buys me 10^^645385211 years of life (in practice, I would be more likely to go with 60%, but that’s really a personal preference). Of course, I lose out on the tetration and faster-growth options from refusing that deal, but Omega never mentioned those and I have no particular reason to expect them.
Of course, this starts to get into Pascal’s mugging territory, because it really comes down to how much you trust Omega, or the person representing Omega. I can’t think of any real-life observations I could make that would convince me that someone speaks for Omega and can offer such a deal, though I’m sure there are some things that would cause me to conclude that. Nevertheless, I’m not really capable of thinking with the amount of certainty I would need to risk even a 50% chance of death for a promise of an existence long enough for a brain the size of the observable universe to cycle through all of its possible states.
So yeah, this looks like standard Pascal’s mugging.