As of now, there is no evidence that the average LessWronger is more rational than the average smart, educated person (see the LW poll). Therefore, a lot of LWers thinking something is not any stronger evidence for its truth than any other similarly-sized group of smart, educated people thinking it. Therefore, until we get way better at this, I think we should be humble in our certainty estimates, and not do mindhacky things to cement the beliefs we currently hold.
Who said anything about mindhacking? I’m just saying that we should expect rationalists to believe some of the same things, even if nonrationalists generally don’t believe these things. Considering the whole point of this site is to help people become more rational, recognize and overcome their biases etc. I’m not sure what you’re doing here if you don’t think that actually, y’know, happens.
Oh, sorry, neither did I. I’m not trying to accuse Raemon of deliberate brainwashing. But getting together every year to sings songs about, say, existential risk will make people more likely to disregard evidence showing that X-risk is lower than previously thought. Same for every other subject.
Ah, I guess it was the use of “deliberately” that confused me. Now I come to think of it, this is mentioned as a possible risk in the article, and dismissed as much less powerful than, y’know, talking about it all the damn time.
As of now, there is no evidence that the average LessWronger is more rational than the average smart, educated person (see the LW poll). Therefore, a lot of LWers thinking something is not any stronger evidence for its truth than any other similarly-sized group of smart, educated people thinking it. Therefore, until we get way better at this, I think we should be humble in our certainty estimates, and not do mindhacky things to cement the beliefs we currently hold.
Who said anything about mindhacking? I’m just saying that we should expect rationalists to believe some of the same things, even if nonrationalists generally don’t believe these things. Considering the whole point of this site is to help people become more rational, recognize and overcome their biases etc. I’m not sure what you’re doing here if you don’t think that actually, y’know, happens.
Raemon did. It’s a ritual, deliberately styled after religious rituals, some of the most powerful mindhacks known.
I … didn’t get the impression that this was intended to mindhack people into moving closer to LessWrong consensus.
Oh, sorry, neither did I. I’m not trying to accuse Raemon of deliberate brainwashing. But getting together every year to sings songs about, say, existential risk will make people more likely to disregard evidence showing that X-risk is lower than previously thought. Same for every other subject.
Ah, I guess it was the use of “deliberately” that confused me. Now I come to think of it, this is mentioned as a possible risk in the article, and dismissed as much less powerful than, y’know, talking about it all the damn time.