Another degree of freedom comes from the number of different topics there are where aliens are claimed to have meddled. I admit I can’t think of too many off the top of my head (crop circles? maybe 9/11?) but I’d be willing to bet there are at least 5 popular, serious claims to be had. That would bring the odds up to 1⁄60, or p = .017.
Maybe another degree can be squeezed out by saying that there are topics in pseudoscience besides aliens, and topics to house crazy coincidences besides pseudoscience. I’m not sure how this could be counted, though.
One last thought, it’s not necessary to get p up to anything like 1. Coincidences do happen, after all.
Another degree of freedom comes from the number of different topics there are where aliens are claimed to have meddled. I admit I can’t think of too many off the top of my head (crop circles? maybe 9/11?) but I’d be willing to bet there are at least 5 popular, serious claims to be had. That would bring the odds up to 1⁄60, or p = .017.
Maybe another degree can be squeezed out by saying that there are topics in pseudoscience besides aliens, and topics to house crazy coincidences besides pseudoscience. I’m not sure how this could be counted, though.
One last thought, it’s not necessary to get p up to anything like 1. Coincidences do happen, after all.