When they can predict you well enough and they think you can predict them well enough that if you would-counterfactually punish them for committing a crime in the future, it influences the probability that they will commit the crime by enough to outweigh the cost of administering the punishment times the probability that you will have to do so.
I don’t understand one part. How do you determine the probability that you will have to administer the punishment?
I don’t understand one part. How do you determine the probability that you will have to administer the punishment?