I think a better way of looking at established science is that it is completely certain, barring further information, and being willing/able to consider further, possibly contradictory information.
I don’t really think confidence values are useful in the absence of knowledge of how complete your current knowledge of a domain actually is.
I think a better way of looking at established science is that it is completely certain, barring further information, and being willing/able to consider further, possibly contradictory information.
I don’t really think confidence values are useful in the absence of knowledge of how complete your current knowledge of a domain actually is.