I’m not sure if your question 3) sheds any light on the problem.
It certainly (and obviously) sheds light on the problem of “how should I change my actions?”.
If you make the question one of practical action then practical actions and the consequences thereof are critical. I need to know (or have a guess given a certain level of resource expenditure) what I am going to do in such situations and what the expected outcome will be. This influences how important the solution is to find and also the expected value of spending more time creating better ‘dirty heuristics’.
It certainly (and obviously) sheds light on the problem of “how should I change my actions?”.
If you make the question one of practical action then practical actions and the consequences thereof are critical. I need to know (or have a guess given a certain level of resource expenditure) what I am going to do in such situations and what the expected outcome will be. This influences how important the solution is to find and also the expected value of spending more time creating better ‘dirty heuristics’.