Something I took out of this debate was a pushing of my “AGI Soon” expectations. I found myself agreeing with Hotz by the end. Though I haven’t formed a new prediction. It will be beyond my previous expectation of 1-3 years before AGI. Somewhat closer to 10 years. The exact point that changed my mind isn’t listed in this post. Though it was past the 60 min mark.
Something I took out of this debate was a pushing of my “AGI Soon” expectations. I found myself agreeing with Hotz by the end. Though I haven’t formed a new prediction. It will be beyond my previous expectation of 1-3 years before AGI. Somewhat closer to 10 years. The exact point that changed my mind isn’t listed in this post. Though it was past the 60 min mark.