What I’m doing is modeling “gamble with the money” as a simple action—you can imaging there’s a big red button that gives you $200 1/16th of the time and takes all your money otherwise.
And then I’m modeling “but a lotto ticket” as a compound action consisting of entering each number individually.
“Knowing the numbers” means your world model understands that if you’ve entered the right numbers, you get the money. But it doesn’t make “enter the right numbers” probable in the prior.
Of course the conclusion is reverse if we make “enter the right numbers” into a primitive action.
No! You also have to enter the right numbers.
What I’m doing is modeling “gamble with the money” as a simple action—you can imaging there’s a big red button that gives you $200 1/16th of the time and takes all your money otherwise.
And then I’m modeling “but a lotto ticket” as a compound action consisting of entering each number individually.
“Knowing the numbers” means your world model understands that if you’ve entered the right numbers, you get the money. But it doesn’t make “enter the right numbers” probable in the prior.
Of course the conclusion is reverse if we make “enter the right numbers” into a primitive action.