One possible reason is that I’ve included more organizations in this updated post and this would raise many estimates.
Another reason is that in the old post, I used a linear model that assumed that an organization started with 1 FTE when founded and linearly increased until the current number (example: an organization has 10 FTEs in 2025 and was founded in 2015. Assume 1 FTE in 2015, 2 FTEs in 2016 … 10 in 2025).
The new model is simpler and just assumes the current number for all years (e.g. 10 in 2015 and 10 in 2025) so it’s estimates for earlier years are higher than the previous model. See my response to Daniel above.
Good observation, thanks for sharing.
One possible reason is that I’ve included more organizations in this updated post and this would raise many estimates.
Another reason is that in the old post, I used a linear model that assumed that an organization started with 1 FTE when founded and linearly increased until the current number (example: an organization has 10 FTEs in 2025 and was founded in 2015. Assume 1 FTE in 2015, 2 FTEs in 2016 … 10 in 2025).
The new model is simpler and just assumes the current number for all years (e.g. 10 in 2015 and 10 in 2025) so it’s estimates for earlier years are higher than the previous model. See my response to Daniel above.