Thanks for the information! I was thinking in a similar direction:
Just like the Amish culture has emerged from the standard population, a new “Amish-like” culture may emerge again, or perhaps a new “super-Amish” culture may emerge from the Amish. There is no law of nature saying that there will be exactly one Amish-like culture ever, and once its fertility declines, it is all over.
And generally, I think that the exponential curve drives people to hysterical predictions, because it ends with a disaster either way—exponent > 1 means we overpopulate and starve to death, but exponent < 1 means we go extinct, and exponent = 1 (with infinitely many decimal places) is statistically unlikely. So by that logic we are doomed no matter what happens.
Thanks for the information! I was thinking in a similar direction:
Just like the Amish culture has emerged from the standard population, a new “Amish-like” culture may emerge again, or perhaps a new “super-Amish” culture may emerge from the Amish. There is no law of nature saying that there will be exactly one Amish-like culture ever, and once its fertility declines, it is all over.
And generally, I think that the exponential curve drives people to hysterical predictions, because it ends with a disaster either way—exponent > 1 means we overpopulate and starve to death, but exponent < 1 means we go extinct, and exponent = 1 (with infinitely many decimal places) is statistically unlikely. So by that logic we are doomed no matter what happens.