The first prior is where the regress bottoms out. Bayesian reasoning has to stop somewhere—and it stops at the first prior.
This area is known as “The problem of the priors”. For most agents it is no big deal—since they are rapidly swamped by evidence that overwhelms their priors, so there is little sensitivity to their exact values.
The first prior is where the regress bottoms out. Bayesian reasoning has to stop somewhere—and it stops at the first prior.
This area is known as “The problem of the priors”. For most agents it is no big deal—since they are rapidly swamped by evidence that overwhelms their priors, so there is little sensitivity to their exact values.
My bayesian reasoning finishes with a posterior. It starts at the first prior. I’m backwards like that.
So, you simply refuse to question the prior. Is this a matter of faith, or what? Why stop there?
More often a matter of birth. Agents usually start somewhere.
A few details about the process.