Superalignment is probably not that hard to navigate.[1]
Another implication of the big cognitive distortion around timelines and “how much AGI do we already have” is that if you think that we already have some AGI, then you do actually have some kind of evidence about alignment being easier than expected.
Another implication of the big cognitive distortion around timelines and “how much AGI do we already have” is that if you think that we already have some AGI, then you do actually have some kind of evidence about alignment being easier than expected.