I don’t think Phi-4 offers convincing evidence either way. You can push performance on verifiable tasks quite far without the model becoming generally more capable. AlphaZero doesn’t imply that scaling with its methods gestures at general superintelligence, and similarly with Phi-4.
In contrast, using o1-like training as a way to better access ground truth in less tractable domains seems more promising, since by some accounts its tactics on long reasoning traces work even in non-technical domains (unlike for DeepSeek R1), possibly because they are emergent rather than directly encouraged with task-specific training.
I don’t think Phi-4 offers convincing evidence either way. You can push performance on verifiable tasks quite far without the model becoming generally more capable. AlphaZero doesn’t imply that scaling with its methods gestures at general superintelligence, and similarly with Phi-4.
In contrast, using o1-like training as a way to better access ground truth in less tractable domains seems more promising, since by some accounts its tactics on long reasoning traces work even in non-technical domains (unlike for DeepSeek R1), possibly because they are emergent rather than directly encouraged with task-specific training.