My take is that mutual containment really means a mutual commitment to stop the creation of ASI, a commitment which to be meaningful ultimately needs to be followed by everyone on Earth.
I infer that you believe I disagree with this?
My aim is something like 1) if folks are going to race with China, at least recognize how hard it’ll be and what it would actually take to end the competition (don’t miscalculate things as wins that aren’t) and 2) help people notice that the factors that’d be necessary for “winning” would also support cooperation to head off the race, and so it’s more possible than they might think. (Or, winning in the race framework is even hard than they think.)
Really appreciate the thorough engagement -
I infer that you believe I disagree with this?
My aim is something like 1) if folks are going to race with China, at least recognize how hard it’ll be and what it would actually take to end the competition (don’t miscalculate things as wins that aren’t) and 2) help people notice that the factors that’d be necessary for “winning” would also support cooperation to head off the race, and so it’s more possible than they might think. (Or, winning in the race framework is even hard than they think.)