Meta question for those who have made predictions: How do go about making a prediction? As in What is your prediction making process?
Which I suppose this is really a melange of questions that decomposes into:
Which questions appealed to you as being worth predicting, and why? How did you determine what specific conditions the question was asking you to make a prediction about? What was your process for determining your own level of confidence in that state of affairs? Is the process similar or dissimilar from how you go about making decisions with tangible effects in your personal, familial, and professional life?
Meta question for those who have made predictions: How do go about making a prediction? As in What is your prediction making process?
Which I suppose this is really a melange of questions that decomposes into:
Which questions appealed to you as being worth predicting, and why?
How did you determine what specific conditions the question was asking you to make a prediction about?
What was your process for determining your own level of confidence in that state of affairs?
Is the process similar or dissimilar from how you go about making decisions with tangible effects in your personal, familial, and professional life?