We may need to do some tabooing. My understanding is that “sociopath” is a much narrower category than “not neurotypical”; in particular, I was under the impression that sociopathy involved a lack of empathy. That doesn’t appear to characterize Knox from anything else I have come across (there are perhaps one or two anecdotes that you could retrospectively regard as consistent with that assumption, but only if you didn’t know anything else—most information about Knox from her hometown points in the opposite direction).
It doesn’t seem to me that there’s strong evidence in the other direction, just a low prior of a random person being a sociopath.
We may need to do some tabooing. My understanding is that “sociopath” is a much narrower category than “not neurotypical”; in particular, I was under the impression that sociopathy involved a lack of empathy. That doesn’t appear to characterize Knox from anything else I have come across (there are perhaps one or two anecdotes that you could retrospectively regard as consistent with that assumption, but only if you didn’t know anything else—most information about Knox from her hometown points in the opposite direction).
Start here, here, here, and here (4:50).
But you may be right in the sense that I may be overestimating P(Guilty|Sociopath).