Indeed I don’t have answers, but only because this is indeed a sort of “AI mid” future, assuming some remnant of the status quo remains intact, whether because AI does not advance as far as anticipated as quickly as anticipated (a position I no longer hold), or because a future AI model deliberately chooses to maintain an artificial status quo bubble, a “human reserve” relatively indistinguishable from a more gradually-progressing future for psychosocial reasons (which is plausible, but not certain).
Generally though, it’s the epistemological barrier at play, since the intent was to provide more of a grounded economist-focus look at the effects of universal task automation. Now I have mulled on technism a great deal recently, but since I have no economics background, the intention on my end wasn’t to ask o1 but to use this as a launchpad, something that an even more impressive AI system could handle. Deep Research is probably that model, so I intend on returning to this with a follow up to see whether any of this is coherent or if this really is as schizophrenic and sophistic as “the means of production owns the means of production” historically would have sounded.
Indeed I don’t have answers, but only because this is indeed a sort of “AI mid” future, assuming some remnant of the status quo remains intact, whether because AI does not advance as far as anticipated as quickly as anticipated (a position I no longer hold), or because a future AI model deliberately chooses to maintain an artificial status quo bubble, a “human reserve” relatively indistinguishable from a more gradually-progressing future for psychosocial reasons (which is plausible, but not certain).
Generally though, it’s the epistemological barrier at play, since the intent was to provide more of a grounded economist-focus look at the effects of universal task automation. Now I have mulled on technism a great deal recently, but since I have no economics background, the intention on my end wasn’t to ask o1 but to use this as a launchpad, something that an even more impressive AI system could handle. Deep Research is probably that model, so I intend on returning to this with a follow up to see whether any of this is coherent or if this really is as schizophrenic and sophistic as “the means of production owns the means of production” historically would have sounded.