Is the post a reasonable open thread comment? Yes. But throwing out the bare questions, questions unaccompanied by any serious attempt to answer them in detail or elaborate on their relevance to our purposes, is not a substantial contribution to the community.
Edit: Why should I care about assigning numbers in cases like these? Why do I need a better sense of how probabilities will vary at the extremes? Why should I expect to gain such a sense from this task?
And what would a Bayesian justice system even look like? It’s not obvious, and the post provides no guidance.
It’s not obvious, and the post provides no guidance.
The comments fleshed it out, and that’s what I wanted. I reserve the right to ask questions via top-level posts, if I care enough about the question to risk karma on the asking. If it’s a sufficiently good question, the question and answers together represent the “substantial contribution to the community”.
It’s not obvious, and the post provides no guidance.
But the comments did, and that’s what I wanted. I reserve the right to ask questions via top-level posts, if I care enough about the question to risk karma on the asking. If it’s a sufficiently good question, the question and answers together represent the “substantial contribution to the community”.
Is the post a reasonable open thread comment? Yes. But throwing out the bare questions, questions unaccompanied by any serious attempt to answer them in detail or elaborate on their relevance to our purposes, is not a substantial contribution to the community.
Edit: Why should I care about assigning numbers in cases like these? Why do I need a better sense of how probabilities will vary at the extremes? Why should I expect to gain such a sense from this task?
And what would a Bayesian justice system even look like? It’s not obvious, and the post provides no guidance.
The comments fleshed it out, and that’s what I wanted. I reserve the right to ask questions via top-level posts, if I care enough about the question to risk karma on the asking. If it’s a sufficiently good question, the question and answers together represent the “substantial contribution to the community”.
But the comments did, and that’s what I wanted. I reserve the right to ask questions via top-level posts, if I care enough about the question to risk karma on the asking. If it’s a sufficiently good question, the question and answers together represent the “substantial contribution to the community”.