I agree that this is how it should be reasoned ideally, which I only realized after first posting the grandparent. See other comments and the edit for how I arrived at the 50⁄50 reasoning. If you know the answer for the bottom/last question in this comment, I’d be interested to know.
Thanks for the full Bayes Theorem breakdown.
I agree that this is how it should be reasoned ideally, which I only realized after first posting the grandparent. See other comments and the edit for how I arrived at the 50⁄50 reasoning. If you know the answer for the bottom/last question in this comment, I’d be interested to know.