The statement “in the following list it is obvious, if P(doom) was reached” seems to me like a scissor statement: I find it plausible, sometime 60⁄40 split, which one is AI doom and which one is e.g random doom that has nearly nothing to do with MIRI-style extinction risk.
The statement “in the following list it is obvious, if P(doom) was reached” seems to me like a scissor statement: I find it plausible, sometime 60⁄40 split, which one is AI doom and which one is e.g random doom that has nearly nothing to do with MIRI-style extinction risk.