we thought that forecasting AI trends was important to be able to have us taken seriously
This might be the most dramatic example ever of forecasting affecting the outcome.
Similarly I’m concerned that a lot of alignment people are putting work into evals and benchmarks which may be having some accelerating affect on the AI capabilities which they are trying to understand.
This might be the most dramatic example ever of forecasting affecting the outcome.
Similarly I’m concerned that a lot of alignment people are putting work into evals and benchmarks which may be having some accelerating affect on the AI capabilities which they are trying to understand.
“That which is measured improves. That which is measured and reported improves exponentially.”