I think there’s some nuance missing from Scenario 1. Authority doesn’t include competence or expert-ness. Authority is like believing someone because they’re paid to be a scientist, but you absolutely SHOULD assign more weight to assertions from actual scientists, people who follow the scientific method to update their beliefs, people who don’t believe in the wrong default/null beliefs/hypotheses. This gets mixed up all the time.
Authority: M.D., member of AHA, J.D., professional ______
Competence/expert-ness: performs specific surgery with X% success rate, wins X% of cases in specific legal niche
You shouldn’t care at all, not even ceteris paribus, about this definition of authority. You should care a lot about competence/expert-ness, because people can’t get competent/expert without having accurate beliefs in the area of competence, so even if they’re ignoring some piece of evidence or got to their beliefs very unconsciously or un-Bayesianly, you have strong evidence that their beliefs are close to correct.
I think there’s some nuance missing from Scenario 1. Authority doesn’t include competence or expert-ness. Authority is like believing someone because they’re paid to be a scientist, but you absolutely SHOULD assign more weight to assertions from actual scientists, people who follow the scientific method to update their beliefs, people who don’t believe in the wrong default/null beliefs/hypotheses. This gets mixed up all the time.
Authority: M.D., member of AHA, J.D., professional ______
Competence/expert-ness: performs specific surgery with X% success rate, wins X% of cases in specific legal niche
You shouldn’t care at all, not even ceteris paribus, about this definition of authority. You should care a lot about competence/expert-ness, because people can’t get competent/expert without having accurate beliefs in the area of competence, so even if they’re ignoring some piece of evidence or got to their beliefs very unconsciously or un-Bayesianly, you have strong evidence that their beliefs are close to correct.