There’s this question of whether for logical uncertainty we should think of it more as trying to “un-update” from a more logically informed perspective rather than trying to use some logical prior that exists at the beginning of time. Maybe you’ve heard such ideas from Scott? I’m not sure if that’s the right perspective, but it’s what I’m alluding to when I say you’re introducing artificial logical uncertainty.
I don’t think it’s much like un-updating. Un-updating takes a specific fact we’d like to pretend we don’t know. Plus, the idea there is to back up the inductor. Here I’m looking at average performance as estimated by the latest stage of the inductor. The artificial uncertainty is more like pretending you don’t know which problem in the sequence you’re at.
Yeah, I like tail dependence.
There’s this question of whether for logical uncertainty we should think of it more as trying to “un-update” from a more logically informed perspective rather than trying to use some logical prior that exists at the beginning of time. Maybe you’ve heard such ideas from Scott? I’m not sure if that’s the right perspective, but it’s what I’m alluding to when I say you’re introducing artificial logical uncertainty.
I don’t think it’s much like un-updating. Un-updating takes a specific fact we’d like to pretend we don’t know. Plus, the idea there is to back up the inductor. Here I’m looking at average performance as estimated by the latest stage of the inductor. The artificial uncertainty is more like pretending you don’t know which problem in the sequence you’re at.