This seems focused on intent in a way that’s IMO orthogonal to the post. There’s explicit statements that Anthropic made and then violated. Bringing in intent (or especially nationality) and then pivoting to discourse norms seems on net bad for figuring out “should you assume this lab will hold to commitments in the future when there are incentives for them not to”.
I particularly dislike that this topic has stretched into psychoanalysis (of Anthropic staff, of Mikhail Samin, of Richard Ngo) when I felt that the best part of this article was its groundedness in fact and nonreliance on speculation. Psychoanalysis of this nature is of dubious use and pretty unfriendly.
Any decision to work with people you don’t know personally that relies on guessing their inner psychology is doomed to fail.
This seems focused on intent in a way that’s IMO orthogonal to the post. There’s explicit statements that Anthropic made and then violated. Bringing in intent (or especially nationality) and then pivoting to discourse norms seems on net bad for figuring out “should you assume this lab will hold to commitments in the future when there are incentives for them not to”.
I particularly dislike that this topic has stretched into psychoanalysis (of Anthropic staff, of Mikhail Samin, of Richard Ngo) when I felt that the best part of this article was its groundedness in fact and nonreliance on speculation. Psychoanalysis of this nature is of dubious use and pretty unfriendly.
Any decision to work with people you don’t know personally that relies on guessing their inner psychology is doomed to fail.