We’ll just have to create an entry for it on a prediction market. Once someone gets a decent one going.
Sounds like some kind of curiosity-stopping fallacy of gray: “All beliefs are equal before a prediction market; we’ll just have to wait and see.”
Actually, I was hoping to get some points at Nic’s expense.
I don’t think anyone has mentioned that phenomenon as a failure of prediction markets.
We’ll just have to create an entry for it on a prediction market. Once someone gets a decent one going.
Sounds like some kind of curiosity-stopping fallacy of gray: “All beliefs are equal before a prediction market; we’ll just have to wait and see.”
Actually, I was hoping to get some points at Nic’s expense.
I don’t think anyone has mentioned that phenomenon as a failure of prediction markets.