I’m confused about how simulations disprove the doomsday argument. Why would a future civilization specifically choose to simulate many instances of the time we’re currently in if it doesn’t have a significance to that time period?
It doesn’t disprove the doomsday argument. It does offer an alternative explanation however.
Why would a future civilization specifically choose to simulate many instances of the time we’re currently in if it doesn’t have a significance to that time period?
Don’t think they necessarily care about a specific time period. I think they care about: can they learn how the simulated beings interact with a new technology in a way that prevents them to repeat or mistakes. And it could be the case that our particular time is the most efficient to learn from (i.e. the time that happens right before you might go extinct).
My understanding is that a future civilization must simulate this time period at a fraction greater than others in order for the explanation to be valid. If this is so and some civilization exists until the heat death of the universe, does that imply that technology has reached a point of asymptotic improvement so almost all future times are uniform, and we are going through one of the last great filters?
I’m confused about how simulations disprove the doomsday argument. Why would a future civilization specifically choose to simulate many instances of the time we’re currently in if it doesn’t have a significance to that time period?
It doesn’t disprove the doomsday argument. It does offer an alternative explanation however.
Don’t think they necessarily care about a specific time period. I think they care about: can they learn how the simulated beings interact with a new technology in a way that prevents them to repeat or mistakes. And it could be the case that our particular time is the most efficient to learn from (i.e. the time that happens right before you might go extinct).
My understanding is that a future civilization must simulate this time period at a fraction greater than others in order for the explanation to be valid. If this is so and some civilization exists until the heat death of the universe, does that imply that technology has reached a point of asymptotic improvement so almost all future times are uniform, and we are going through one of the last great filters?